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  #1  
03-17-2004, 01:01 PM
acesfull
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 11
odds of hitting a set on the flop?

does anyone know the odds of hitting a set on the flop in hold'em? what about hitting a flush draw with two suited cards?
  #2  
03-26-2004, 03:39 PM
thatpfunk
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 48
Set on the flop is 1 in 12 by the river it is 1 in 7.5.
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  #3  
04-09-2004, 04:39 PM
zstratt
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Clemson/ San Diego
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Feeling lazy today, so I'll just give the basics on flushes. A flush will hit every five hands, so you'll hit your flush 1 out of 20.
  #4  
04-13-2004, 01:51 AM
texaswalker
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 17
flush and straight flush

if you hit a straight and flush draw on the flop (15 outs) you have 54% chance to win making you the favorite, on the turn you drop to 32.6% chance to make your draw

an flush draw on the flop is 35% on the turn is 19.6%
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  #5  
06-07-2004, 05:32 AM
MinneJohnny
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Correct Odds for set on the flop

The odds for hitting a set on the flop if you have a pocket pair are 7.5 to 1, someone posted that these were the odds by the river. To explain the math, preflop you hold wired cards meaning out of the 50 unknown cards you have two outs. Subtract from 1 (or 100%) the odds of not hitting your set on the flop or 1 - (48/50 * 47/49 * 46/48) = 11.8%
Your odds now are (100%/11.8% - 1) = 7.5 to 1
Your odds by the river are 4.2 ish to 1 (if you are all in before the flop)
hope this helps
Minnejohnny
  #6  
06-07-2004, 10:21 AM
mike
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: San Diego
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I believe MinneJohnny is right. I redid the math and flopping a flush draw would be only 10.8%.
  #7  
06-08-2004, 08:00 AM
MinneJohnny
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 26
flush draw

Thats also close to what I got for flopping the flush draw, although we don't want to miss out on the 0.8% chance of actually flopping a flush right off the bat, add that to your 10.8%
Minnejohnny
  #8  
06-10-2004, 12:18 AM
thatpfunk
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 48
youre right about the set.. i was confused that week..?
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